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The predictive view of a business is enhanced by combining Revenue Durability and New Revenue Creation Capacity into a single Growth Predictor Score. This score captures the changing expectations of customers and the company’s ability to retain revenue while creating new growth opportunities.
The Growth Predictor Score enables the projection of future revenue performance and expected growth-rate improvement over the next 24 months.
Predict Portfolio Growth
The illustration below shows the Alpha Advantage of a typical portfolio relative to industry average, market average, and top-quartile benchmarks,
Predicting Growth Thresholds
The Growth Predictor Index creates a new cross-sector benchmark for measuring and predicting company and portfolio growth trajectories. Organisations are classified according to their predictive growth thresholds—
- Game-Changer (8.5)
- Innovator (8)
- Growth Accelerator (7.5)
- Growth Tipping Point (6.5)
Each threshold represents a measurable step-change in a company’s ability to consistently convert opportunities into revenue growth. Predicted growth rates are assigned to the Index and its corresponding growth threshold.
This provides financial institutions with an additional framework for value creation assessment and exit timing decisions.
Approach
The Alpha Initiative applies predictive intelligence across three interconnected layers:
Capital Provider Layer: Improve selection, portfolio underwriting, risk management, and capital allocation through forward-looking growth and performance signals.
Enterprise Layer: Improve growth, innovation, execution, and revenue resilience through insights into revenue durability, demand trends, and monetisation capability.
Customer Layer: Capture behavioural and market signals from end customers to identify changing needs, emerging opportunities, and future growth potential.
View the Alpha Programme and timetable here.
View detailed decision signals and predictive analysis from the links below to achieve your Alpha Advantage